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Red44
61948.1
29986.5
313628.6
Blue59
4046.3
210627.8
336113.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42472030506070804459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
25.225.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 0.7
27.80.8
25.326.1
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
Second
6194
#25
8.10.4
6.97.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End0.9
blue by 5.7
3361
#16
13.80.8
11.912.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
2998
#26
6.50.4
6.16.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End0.3
red by 0.2
404
#30
6.30.8
4.45.2
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed