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Red63
161015.2
34634.0
5404.3
Blue45
206813.1
108619.9
59548.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524202060801006345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#2
34.01.0
29.330.3
Auto14.2
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 14.0
1086
#13
19.90.3
19.419.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
15.21.0
14.015.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.2
red by 2.2
2068
#21
13.10.3
13.313.5
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Third
540
#22
4.31.0
2.23.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End0.6
blue by 3.7
5954
#28
8.10.3
6.36.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed