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Red44
572419.9
970918.0
29888.7
Blue54
533820.7
580428.4
126216.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45702060801001204454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#10
19.90.0
17.617.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 8.4
28.40.4
25.425.0
Auto7.2
Teleop18.6
End2.6
Second
9709
#12
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 2.7
20.70.5
19.719.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Third
2988
#27
8.70.0
7.97.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 7.3
1262
#11
16.00.4
14.814.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed