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Red70
580428.4
680221.1
161015.2
Blue51
289019.9
159919.4
206813.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7053204060801001207051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.6
25.025.5
Auto7.2
Teleop18.6
End2.6
red by 8.4
2890
#14
19.90.1
20.120.2
Auto6.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
6802
#15
21.10.6
21.221.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.1
red by 1.8
19.40.1
16.516.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
15.20.6
15.015.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.2
red by 2.2
2068
#21
13.10.1
13.513.6
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed