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Red68
218611.9
313628.6
572419.9
Blue31
59548.1
482110.7
29888.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661804060801001206831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.9
25.626.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 17.9
4821
#29
10.70.6
7.78.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Second
5724
#10
19.90.9
17.618.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 11.2
2988
#27
8.70.5
7.98.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
11.91.3
10.711.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.6
red by 3.8
5954
#28
8.10.5
6.67.0
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed