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Red59
126216.0
447217.5
218611.9
Blue84
159919.4
108619.9
97715.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485802040801001201405984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#17
17.50.4
17.117.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 2.5
1086
#13
19.90.4
18.919.3
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
1262
#11
16.00.3
15.716.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 3.4
19.40.4
18.318.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
11.90.4
11.511.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.6
blue by 3.1
977
#24
15.00.4
13.914.4
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.1