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Red88
313628.6
210627.8
4046.3
Blue33
572419.9
161015.2
61948.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68442060801001208833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.5
27.127.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 8.7
5724
#10
19.90.3
19.819.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Second
27.80.5
26.427.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
red by 12.6
15.20.3
15.114.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.2
Third
404
#30
6.30.5
4.95.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 1.8
6194
#25
8.10.3
8.07.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End0.9