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Red17
68822.6
161013.5
29124.2
Blue30
900313.8
190810.7
29885.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343620253040451730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.51.6
14.512.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 0.3
13.80.2
9.69.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Second
2912
#22DQ
4.21.6
8.56.9
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End1.2
blue by 6.5
1908
#18
10.70.3
13.913.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
6882
#23DQ
2.61.6
8.46.8
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.5
blue by 2.7
2988
#20DQ
5.30.3
9.28.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed