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Red65
236321.6
42226.6
923510.0
Blue30
20288.1
12214.9
6233.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54470204060801001206530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
26.60.8
18.118.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 11.7
122
#7
14.91.5
13.211.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Second
21.61.3
20.121.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.1
End4.6
red by 13.6
2028
#19
8.11.5
13.912.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Third
9235
#21
10.01.3
10.011.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 6.5
623
#16
3.41.5
16.114.6
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed