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Red19
161013.5
29124.2
618910.1
Blue41
236321.6
900313.8
6118.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284801020406070801941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.50.9
14.013.1
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 8.1
21.60.2
20.820.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Second
6189
#11
10.10.6
6.96.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 3.7
13.80.1
9.49.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
2912
#22
4.20.9
6.65.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End1.2
blue by 3.8
611
#12
8.00.2
10.610.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed