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Red50
17939.5
206811.4
34626.5
Blue54
190810.7
42226.6
68822.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364102060801001201401605054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#3
26.50.7
15.816.5
Auto10.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
blue by 0.1
422
#1
26.61.1
19.720.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
2068
#17
11.40.7
10.611.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End0.7
red by 0.7
1908
#18
10.71.9
11.513.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
1793
#15
9.50.4
7.17.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 6.9
6882
#23
2.61.9
5.77.6
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed