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Red13
17939.5
4046.4
618910.1
Blue36
20288.1
236321.6
161013.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165304060801336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6189
#11
10.10.7
6.45.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 11.5
21.60.9
20.619.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Second
1793
#15
9.50.7
7.56.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 4.0
13.50.9
13.112.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
404
#10
6.41.2
5.34.1
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
blue by 1.6
2028
#19
8.10.9
10.29.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed