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Red39
554914.5
6118.0
923510.0
Blue8
6233.4
900313.8
68822.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3534102030405060398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.50.6
12.413.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 0.7
13.81.5
10.28.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Second
9235
#21
10.00.6
8.69.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 6.5
623
#16
3.42.5
12.810.3
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Third
611
#12
8.00.6
10.411.0
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
red by 5.4
6882
#23
2.62.5
7.65.1
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed