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Red79
34626.5
12214.9
618910.1
Blue11
68822.6
6233.4
206811.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442802060807911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#3
26.51.8
17.919.7
Auto10.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
red by 15.1
2068
#17
11.41.8
13.611.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Second
122
#7
14.91.8
13.014.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End2.4
red by 11.5
623
#16
3.41.8
8.76.9
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Third
6189
#11
10.11.1
7.08.0
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 7.5
6882
#23
2.61.8
5.13.3
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed