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Red50
190810.7
61913.9
17939.5
Blue33
19159.7
6118.0
29885.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333801020506070805033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#9
13.91.1
11.612.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 4.2
1915
#14
9.70.1
14.714.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.2
Second
1908
#18
10.71.1
12.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 2.7
611
#12
8.00.1
10.710.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Third
1793
#15
9.50.6
6.67.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 4.1
2988
#20
5.30.1
8.48.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed