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Red58
206811.4
236321.6
12214.9
Blue26
618910.1
68822.6
19159.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54250204060801005826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.2
23.523.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.1
End4.6
red by 11.5
6189
#11
10.10.1
8.88.7
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Second
122
#7
14.90.2
12.312.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.2
End2.4
red by 5.2
1915
#14
9.70.2
13.413.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End-0.2
Third
2068
#17
11.40.2
9.810.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End0.7
red by 8.8
6882
#23
2.60.2
3.83.6
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed