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Red80
42226.6
34626.5
900313.8
Blue10
33596.2
29885.3
4046.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7090204060801001201408010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
26.60.9
23.224.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 20.2
404
#10
6.40.5
3.83.4
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Second
346
#3
26.51.4
21.823.2
Auto10.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
red by 20.3
3359
#13
6.20.5
4.54.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.4
Third
13.80.9
10.811.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 8.5
2988
#20
5.30.5
6.86.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed