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Red12
6118.0
190810.7
33596.2
Blue21
618910.1
289016.0
6233.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35331020304050601221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#18
10.72.1
13.611.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
blue by 5.3
16.01.3
9.07.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Second
611
#12
8.02.1
12.710.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.7
End0.9
blue by 2.1
6189
#11
10.10.8
7.76.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
3359
#13
6.22.1
4.62.5
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End1.4
red by 2.8
623
#16
3.41.3
14.112.8
Auto1.1
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed