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Red16
805112.7
88961.0
902310.3
Blue24
446917.3
29294.6
29274.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334202530401624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8051
#16
12.71.6
10.38.8
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 4.7
4469
#13
17.31.9
13.311.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Second
9023
#12
10.31.6
11.610.0
Auto6.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 5.7
2929
#29
4.61.9
8.97.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
Third
8896
#35
1.01.6
8.16.6
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
blue by 3.4
2927
#27
4.31.9
8.56.6
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed