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Red31
83028.5
568310.5
803215.6
Blue15
52959.3
445021.6
37863.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30450204060801003115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.2
9.99.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 6.0
4450
#14
21.61.8
19.217.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
5683
#19
10.50.2
9.89.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
red by 1.2
5295
#25
9.32.9
10.77.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Third
8302
#20
8.50.2
9.29.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.2
red by 5.2
3786
#28
3.32.9
9.46.5
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed