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Red8
142518.6
35882.3
29038.2
Blue32
189913.3
29077.0
321911.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28400206080832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
18.62.3
17.215.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.0
red by 5.3
1899
#22
13.30.3
14.414.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Second
2903
#17
8.21.4
4.43.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 3.1
11.30.3
10.310.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Third
3588
#32
2.31.4
4.93.5
Auto1.2
Teleop0.3
End0.7
blue by 4.7
2907
#26
7.00.3
10.410.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed