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Red69
366327.8
94468.7
307028.0
Blue56
198323.4
944220.0
558812.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4536010203040506070806956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.03.3
12.916.2
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 4.7
1983
#15
23.41.7
14.115.9
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
27.83.3
17.320.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 7.8
20.025.4
36.210.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Third
8.75.3
17.712.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 4.2
5588
#23
12.91.7
10.211.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed