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Red10
83034.8
29062.3
297614.9
Blue38
45794.7
33935.0
129421.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353301020405060701038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2976
#30
14.92.4
14.412.0
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 6.9
21.80.3
11.011.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Second
8303
#24
4.82.4
8.86.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 0.2
3393
#33
5.00.3
9.49.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
Third
2906
#34
2.32.4
8.46.0
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
blue by 2.3
4579
#31
4.70.3
9.910.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed