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Red55
292816.8
387610.1
48821.7
Blue23
49118.2
214715.7
142518.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3958020801005523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
21.70.3
16.416.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 3.1
1425
#11
18.63.2
15.011.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Second
16.80.3
12.512.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
red by 1.1
2147
#18
15.73.2
17.214.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Third
3876
#10
10.10.3
8.88.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
red by 1.9
4911
#21
8.23.2
17.914.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed