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Red35
292816.8
214715.7
88961.0
Blue17
45794.7
83034.8
48821.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353710203050603517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.2
12.212.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
blue by 4.9
488
#4
21.72.3
16.113.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Second
2147
#18
15.70.2
14.014.3
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
red by 10.9
8303
#24
4.82.3
6.44.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Third
8896
#35
1.00.2
6.66.8
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
blue by 3.7
4579
#31
4.72.3
10.27.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed