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Red24
803215.6
297614.9
33935.0
Blue27
37863.3
387610.1
902310.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332501020304050602427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.61.3
9.78.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 5.3
9023
#12
10.31.0
8.87.8
Auto6.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Second
2976
#30
14.91.3
12.010.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
red by 4.8
3876
#10
10.11.0
8.57.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Third
3393
#33
5.01.3
7.25.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
red by 1.7
3786
#28
3.31.0
6.55.5
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned