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Red50
445021.6
805112.7
94468.7
Blue39
307028.0
446917.3
558812.9
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414620305060705039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#14
21.60.7
18.018.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
blue by 6.5
28.00.0
17.117.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
Second
8051
#16
12.71.2
8.810.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 4.7
4469
#13
17.30.0
10.210.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Third
8.71.2
12.413.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 4.2
5588
#23
12.90.0
11.911.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed