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Red39
29077.0
129421.8
944220.0
Blue41
48821.7
198323.4
568310.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40432530355055603941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.3
12.312.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
blue by 1.6
1983
#15
23.40.3
15.515.2
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
20.00.3
13.513.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 1.7
488
#4
21.70.3
13.813.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Third
2907
#26
7.00.3
10.910.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
blue by 3.5
5683
#19
10.50.3
9.69.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed