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Red12
49118.2
37863.3
83028.5
Blue13
35882.3
94468.7
83034.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3019010405060701213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8302
#20
8.51.5
7.05.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 0.2
8.71.2
13.612.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Second
4911
#21
8.21.5
13.311.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 3.4
8303
#24
4.81.2
2.31.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Third
3786
#28
3.31.5
5.54.0
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
red by 1.1
3588
#32
2.30.7
2.92.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed