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Red21
29062.3
568310.5
29038.2
Blue51
944220.0
48821.7
803215.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154302060802151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5683
#19
10.50.1
9.39.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 11.2
488
#4
21.71.8
13.515.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Second
2903
#17
8.20.0
4.64.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 11.8
20.01.8
13.214.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Third
2906
#34
2.30.1
2.72.6
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
blue by 13.3
15.61.8
8.510.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed