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Red31
198323.4
29077.0
33935.0
Blue49
321911.3
292816.8
52959.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362902060801003149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#15
23.40.1
15.215.1
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 6.5
16.81.9
12.414.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
Second
2907
#26
7.00.1
10.610.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
blue by 4.3
11.31.9
9.611.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Third
3393
#33
5.00.1
5.95.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
blue by 4.3
5295
#25
9.31.9
4.76.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed