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Red40
45794.7
189913.3
568310.5
Blue54
292816.8
142518.6
129421.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29470204060804054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#22
13.31.3
13.715.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 8.5
21.81.5
12.113.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Second
5683
#19
10.51.3
9.210.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 8.1
1425
#11
18.61.5
13.815.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Third
4579
#31
4.71.3
5.16.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 12.2
16.81.5
14.415.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed