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Red48
29274.3
198323.4
49118.2
Blue29
33935.0
83034.8
445021.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41260102030506070804829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#15
23.40.3
15.114.8
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 1.8
4450
#14
21.60.2
18.518.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
4911
#21
8.20.3
11.711.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 3.2
3393
#33
5.00.4
5.86.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
Third
2927
#27
4.30.3
8.78.5
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 0.5
8303
#24
4.80.4
1.11.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed