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Red52
446917.3
387610.1
366327.8
Blue43
48821.7
52959.3
35882.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6219040801001205243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.1
26.626.7
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 6.0
488
#4
21.71.7
15.317.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Second
4469
#13
17.30.1
15.015.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
red by 8.1
5295
#25
9.31.7
7.28.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Third
3876
#10
10.10.1
9.39.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
red by 7.9
3588
#32
2.31.0
0.11.1
Auto1.2
Teleop0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed