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Red36
29062.3
29274.3
445021.6
Blue48
94468.7
129421.8
568310.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334202060803648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#14
21.60.0
18.718.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
blue by 0.2
21.80.5
16.516.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Second
2927
#27
4.30.0
6.86.8
Auto0.5
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 6.2
5683
#19
10.50.5
11.811.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Third
2906
#34
2.30.0
5.75.7
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
blue by 6.4
8.70.5
9.18.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed