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Red11
88961.0
83034.8
37863.3
Blue15
29038.2
805112.7
29077.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8240203040501115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8303
#24
4.80.3
2.52.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 7.9
8051
#16
12.70.5
7.36.8
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
3786
#28
3.30.3
4.84.5
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
blue by 4.8
2903
#17
8.20.3
4.03.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
8896
#35
1.00.3
1.51.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
blue by 6.0
2907
#26
7.00.5
8.47.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed