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Red49
198323.4
803215.6
35882.3
Blue23
33935.0
189913.3
214715.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30341520254045504923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#15
23.42.4
16.018.4
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 7.7
2147
#18
15.71.3
13.412.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
15.62.4
10.612.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 2.3
1899
#22
13.31.3
12.110.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
3588
#32
2.31.4
1.12.5
Auto1.2
Teleop0.3
End0.7
blue by 2.7
3393
#33
5.01.3
4.53.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed