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Red64
129421.8
29294.6
48821.7
Blue25
83034.8
83028.5
321911.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4321060806425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.9
16.017.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 10.5
11.30.7
9.48.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Second
488
#4
21.71.9
17.118.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 13.2
8302
#20
8.50.7
10.09.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Third
2929
#29
4.61.9
3.14.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
blue by 0.2
8303
#24
4.80.7
2.21.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned