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Red69
445021.6
292816.8
366327.8
Blue9
88961.0
94468.7
29062.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738020406080100120699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.6
26.727.3
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 19.1
8.70.7
8.67.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Second
4450
#14
21.60.4
18.719.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 19.2
2906
#34
2.30.7
5.75.0
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
Third
16.80.6
13.113.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
red by 15.9
8896
#35
1.00.7
1.20.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed