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Red31
189913.3
902310.3
558812.9
Blue41
49118.2
387610.1
944220.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274302060803141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#22
13.30.5
10.711.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 6.7
20.00.8
19.018.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Second
5588
#23
12.90.5
9.910.4
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 2.8
3876
#10
10.10.9
9.48.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Third
9023
#12
10.30.5
5.86.3
Auto6.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 2.1
4911
#21
8.20.8
8.47.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed