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Red20
33935.0
37863.3
48821.7
Blue78
805112.7
944220.0
189913.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35460204060802078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
21.71.1
22.021.0
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 1.7
20.01.9
16.918.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Second
3393
#33
5.01.1
5.44.4
Auto2.9
Teleop1.3
End0.8
blue by 8.3
1899
#22
13.32.0
11.013.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
3786
#28
3.31.3
5.64.3
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
blue by 9.4
8051
#16
12.72.0
12.214.2
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed