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Red71
129421.8
29038.2
198323.4
Blue7
29062.3
35882.3
49118.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5770204080100717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#15
23.42.1
20.722.7
Auto11.5
Teleop9.6
End2.3
red by 15.1
4911
#21
8.20.5
6.66.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Second
21.82.1
19.921.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 19.5
2906
#34
2.30.5
3.22.7
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
Third
2903
#17
8.21.7
5.16.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 5.9
3588
#32
2.30.4
2.72.3
Auto1.2
Teleop0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed