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Red52
29294.6
307028.0
292816.8
Blue53
321911.3
446917.3
803215.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53382060801005253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.6
26.126.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.5
End1.8
red by 10.7
4469
#13
17.31.4
15.016.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Second
16.80.6
14.715.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
red by 1.2
15.61.5
12.814.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
2929
#29
4.60.5
5.05.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
blue by 6.6
11.31.6
8.19.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed