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Red55
568310.5
445021.6
29077.0
Blue53
214715.7
902310.3
297614.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37401020305060705553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#14
21.61.2
19.220.4
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
red by 5.9
2147
#18
15.70.2
14.314.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
5683
#19
10.51.6
8.710.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 4.4
2976
#30
14.90.2
13.113.3
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Third
2907
#26
7.01.4
5.56.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.0
End0.4
blue by 3.4
9023
#12
10.30.2
8.48.6
Auto6.6
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed