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Red62
558812.9
803215.6
142518.6
Blue31
805112.7
37863.3
129421.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504402060801001206231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
18.60.5
18.619.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.0
blue by 3.2
21.80.9
21.921.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Second
15.60.6
14.314.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 2.9
8051
#16
12.70.9
14.213.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
5588
#23
12.90.7
11.812.5
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 9.6
3786
#28
3.31.0
4.33.3
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed