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Red39
366327.8
189913.3
29062.3
Blue58
214715.7
321911.3
445021.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484930406070803958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.4
28.127.8
Auto10.6
Teleop15.3
End1.9
red by 6.2
4450
#14
21.60.2
20.420.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
1899
#22
13.30.4
13.012.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 2.4
2147
#18
15.70.3
14.514.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Third
2906
#34
2.30.4
2.72.3
Auto0.2
Teleop1.7
End0.4
blue by 8.9
11.30.3
9.710.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed