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Red48
94468.7
49118.2
803215.6
Blue75
321911.3
214715.7
446917.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32480204060804875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.4
14.915.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 1.8
4469
#13
17.30.4
16.316.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Second
8.70.4
8.08.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 7.0
2147
#18
15.70.4
14.715.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Third
4911
#21
8.20.4
7.68.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 3.0
11.30.5
10.010.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End1.8