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Red70
83028.5
48821.7
129421.8
Blue36
805112.7
568310.5
142518.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57472040801007036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.4
21.121.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 3.2
1425
#11
18.60.3
19.218.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Second
488
#4
21.70.4
21.021.4
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 9.0
8051
#16
12.70.3
13.313.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
8302
#20
8.50.5
8.28.6
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 2.0
5683
#19
10.50.3
11.110.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1