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Red43
189913.3
292816.8
944220.0
Blue47
29038.2
387610.1
445021.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553920801004347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.1
19.419.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End1.2
blue by 1.6
4450
#14
21.60.1
20.620.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.0
Second
16.80.1
16.116.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
red by 6.7
3876
#10
10.10.1
9.18.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Third
1899
#22
13.30.1
12.612.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 5.1
2903
#17
8.20.1
7.27.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.2