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Red30
142518.6
568310.5
805112.7
Blue59
944220.0
292816.8
189913.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4654204060801003059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#11
18.60.3
18.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.0
blue by 1.4
20.00.0
19.319.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End1.2
Second
8051
#16
12.70.3
13.012.7
Auto2.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 4.1
16.80.0
16.015.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End1.0
Third
5683
#19
10.50.3
10.810.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End1.1
blue by 2.8
1899
#22
13.30.0
12.512.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End1.4